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First EC Site Launched Post-New Policy! Canberra Drive Site Officially Out for Tender: Will Future Selling Prices Be Affected by the New Rules?

First EC Site Launched Under New Rules: Canberra Drive Tender Officially Opens

The Housing & Development Board (HDB) has officially launched the tender for an Executive Condominium (EC) site at Canberra Drive. This marks the first EC Government Land Sales (GLS) site released since the government tightened EC buying policies in May this year, drawing keen market attention.

Offered under the Confirmed List of the 1H2026 GLS programme, the 99-year leasehold site covers an area of approximately 124,167 sq ft and is estimated to yield around 185 residential units.

First Site Released Following New EC Policy Changes

The Canberra Drive land parcel is the first EC site put up for public tender since the government announced tighter EC regulations on 8 May.

The recalibration introduces three key measures:

First, the Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) for new EC projects has been extended from five years to 10 years.

Second, the government has removed the Deferred Payment Scheme (DPS) for new ECs.

Third, new EC projects will allocate a higher quota of units for first-timer families.

These measures are designed to ensure ECs remain firmly driven by genuine owner-occupier demand while curbing speculative investment and short-term capital flipping.

Canberra Drive Site to Serve as a Litmus Test for Market Confidence

The Canberra Drive plot will act as a key litmus test of developers' confidence in the EC market.

Given the tightened purchasing criteria—especially the extension of the MOP to 10 years—some second-timer upgraders may see their buying interest dampened.

This suggests that the prospective buyer pool for upcoming ECs could narrow, while developers may also contend with longer sales absorption cycles.

Consequently, the market will closely scrutinise developers' bidding appetite to gauge their outlook on the evolving EC sector.

Locational Strengths Remain Attractive

Despite the tighter policy backdrop, market observers widely agree that the Canberra Drive site boasts robust locational attributes, which should continue to draw developer participation.

The project is within walking distance of Canberra MRT station on the North-South Line, offering direct connectivity to the Central Business District and the northern regions.

In terms of educational amenities, both Sembawang Primary School and Wellington Primary School are within a 1-kilometre radius, presenting clear appeal for family buyers.

Compared to many EC developments situated in more peripheral suburban locations, Canberra Drive benefits from mature and convenient surrounding amenities, enhancing its attractiveness to developers and future homeowners alike.

Underlying Demand for ECs in the Region Persists

The region has long enjoyed healthy underlying demand for ECs. With limited new EC supply in recent years, significant pent-up demand has built up in the market, meaning developers are still expected to actively monitor the parcel.

Notably, the nearby Sembawang Road EC site closed its tender last September, drawing bids from four developers.

That site was ultimately awarded to Oriental Pacific Holdings at a top bid of $692 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr), translating to a total purchase price of about $198 million.

The Canberra Drive parcel sits closer to the MRT station and everyday amenities than the earlier Sembawang Road site, giving it a stronger competitive edge.

Market Expects 3 to 5 Bids

Market watchers anticipate steady developer interest for the tender. Experts project that three to five developers will submit bids, with the top bid likely landing between $600 and $700 psf ppr.

With an estimated capacity of only around 185 units, the plot represents a relatively boutique "mini-EC" development.

The compact project size entails lower development risks and capital commitments, which could encourage a broader spectrum of developers to enter the fray.

Will the New EC Framework Impact Future Market Demand?

The chief question currently occupying the market is the actual impact of the new EC policy on future end-user demand.

Over the past few years, the EC segment has seen buoyant take-up, with several projects selling out rapidly post-launch. Projects such as Aurelle of Tampines, Otto Place, and this year's Coastal Cabana have all turned in strong sales performances.

However, with the MOP extended to 10 years, the removal of the DPS, and higher entry thresholds, whether the EC market can maintain its previous momentum remains to be seen.

As the maiden GLS EC site under the new regulatory framework, the tender outcome for Canberra Drive will undoubtedly serve as a critical benchmark for the broader market.

Summary: The EC Market Enters a New Phase

Although modest in scale, the significance of the Canberra Drive EC site extends far beyond its land boundaries.

As the first EC land parcel released after the policy tightening, tender participation and bid prices will directly mirror developers' confidence in the road ahead.

Against the backdrop of tight supply, enduring upgrader demand, and the rollout of new policy guidelines, this tender represents more than just a site contest—it is poised to set the direction for the EC market's next chapter.

The tender for the site will close on 1 October 2026, when the market will gain a much clearer view of developers' genuine appetite in this new EC era.